Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Rayo Vallecano vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 2
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
ADP
68%
22%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ANT
1 - 3
RAY
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 2
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
RAY
2 - 2
ALG
61%
25%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALC
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDB
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ALC
2 - 0
HOS
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 2
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |