Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
HUE
0 - 1
RAY
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
RAY
78%
17%
5%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 4
SEV
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
VAD
2 - 0
RAY
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAD
0 - 1
ALA
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
RSO
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOC
67%
22%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
ESP
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
BET
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |