Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
RAY
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
LEV
0 - 0
RAY
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
AGU
0 - 1
RAY
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
RAY
1 - 4
LLE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
RAY
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
CSM
2 - 2
AGU
38%
29%
34%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1990 |
AGU
0 - 1
RAY
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
AGU
2 - 1
LOR
71%
19%
11%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |