Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 9-1
Rayo Vallecano B vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 5
RVB
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RVB
8 - 2
ARA
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 3
RVB
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
RVB
1 - 0
SFN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
POZ
0 - 1
RVB
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 5
RVB
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
BUE
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAM
1 - 1
ESC
26%
25%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAY
0 - 0
ESC
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |