Rayo Ibense vs Ontinyent 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
15º
14º
1
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
4 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 64 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 23 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 1
RAY
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 6
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
SIL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ONT
1 - 0
RAY
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 3
ELC
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Ontinyent 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ONT
0 - 1
ATZ
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATZ
1 - 1
ONT
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
ONT
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ONT
2 - 2
ACE
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
ONT
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |