Rayo Ibense vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
16º
12º
30
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
RAY
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 1
TCF
25%
26%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAY
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 2
ORI
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ACE
2 - 1
ROD
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 0
ACE
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ACE
1 - 0
JOV
57%
24%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 1
ACE
67%
22%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 0
ACE
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |