Rayo Arriacense vs CD Guadalajara C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+601%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Arriacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
RAY
31%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 5
RAY
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
CIF
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
USA
2 - 2
RAY
48%
20%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
RAY
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAR
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JAD
32%
21%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CES
0 - 3
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
FON
22%
19%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
USA
20%
18%
63%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |