Ravensburg vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
16º
12º
18
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ravensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 2
RAV
41%
21%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 1
PFO
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 1
RAV
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAV
0 - 2
VFR
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 2
RAV
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
TSB
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
S04
4%
10%
86%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
REU
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |