Ravensburg vs 1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
17º
15º
37
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ravensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OFF
0 - 0
RAV
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RAV
2 - 2
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 4
RAV
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RAV
2 - 1
BRU
65%
18%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ILS
2 - 3
RAV
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 1
OBE
45%
22%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PFO
4 - 2
1FC
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
1FC
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 0
PFO
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NEC
4 - 0
1FC
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |