Ravenna FC vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ravenna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
RAV
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAV
2 - 1
LEG
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
RAV
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAV
0 - 1
VIR
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAV
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
IMO
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIN
4 - 2
VIR
25%
24%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ABA
3 - 2
VIR
36%
24%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |