Raufoss II vs Förde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
74%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
14º
14º
28
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SPJ
1 - 1
RAU
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
RAU
0 - 3
EID
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HOD
3 - 1
RAU
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
RAU
3 - 5
FVI
21%
19%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
10 - 0
RAU
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Förde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
MOL
58%
19%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HON
4 - 0
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SPJ
1 - 4
FOR
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
10 - 0
RAU
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |