Räppe vs Österlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
10º
42
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 57 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
68% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 19 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Räppe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HOG
4 - 1
RAP
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OIF
3 - 1
RAP
83%
13%
5%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KRI
0 - 5
RAP
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 2
SIM
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 0
RAP
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
NOS
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
OST
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
OST
53%
23%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OST
3 - 2
MAL
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 4
OST
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |