Rapitenca vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
16º
14º
32
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapitenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 3
RAP
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 1
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GIR
1 - 0
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
EUR
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
RAP
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TON
0 - 1
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
5 - 2
TON
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TON
2 - 0
GRA
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 3
TON
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |