Rapide Oued Zem vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
11º
49
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapide Oued Zem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ITM
1 - 1
ROZ
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ROZ
1 - 0
CHA
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MEK
2 - 1
ROZ
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ROZ
0 - 1
STM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ODC
0 - 0
ROZ
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
STM
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
USM
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
KAW
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
JSM
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 0
USM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |