Rapid de Murillo vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REB
1 - 1
RAP
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
AUT
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AGO
3 - 0
RAP
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
YAG
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PRM
1 - 0
CEN
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 0
REB
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AUT
2 - 1
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 4
AGO
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |