Champions League Last 16
Global 5-6
Rapid Wien vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
SSW
2 - 2
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
RAP
4 - 0
NEU
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1982 |
RBS
0 - 0
RAP
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
RAP
8 - 0
AVE
91%
6%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
RAP
2 - 1
STR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
SLA
2 - 1
WLO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
WLO
1 - 0
GÓR
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
WLO
3 - 1
HIB
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
SZO
0 - 0
WLO
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
WLO
3 - 0
GKS
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |