Rapid Wien vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
5º
3º
4
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 37 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 36 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 33 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 32 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 32 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 27 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
76.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
TRA
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
6 - 1
WIS
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 99 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IMS
0 - 3
WAT
12%
16%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
LYO
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |