Europa League 1/16
Global 1-2
Rapid Wien vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
WAC
2 - 0
RAP
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
RAP
2 - 1
AWM
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1974 |
RAP
2 - 1
AUK
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
AUK
0 - 1
RAP
31%
31%
38%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
ARI
1 - 0
RAP
39%
22%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
VEL
2 - 0
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
VEL
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAT
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
TAT
4 - 2
VEL
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |