Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
RAP
5 - 0
RBS
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
RBS
0 - 0
RAP
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 1974 |
RAP
5 - 0
LAS
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
LAS
2 - 1
RAP
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
LIN
2 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
STR
2 - 1
LIN
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1974 |
WAC
2 - 0
STR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
STR
1 - 0
WAC
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |