Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-4
Rapid Wien vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAP
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
WAT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
TRA
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |