Champions League Last 16
Global 5-7
Rapid Wien vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
25%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
23%
19%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
RAP
4 - 2
STA
96%
3%
1%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 2
RAP
79%
12%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
RAP
1 - 1
GRA
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
KRE
0 - 2
RAP
13%
15%
72%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 2
RAP
79%
12%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
DEP
1 - 2
RMA
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
RMA
7 - 1
RJA
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |