Champions League 1/16
Global 8-10
Rapid Wien vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
RAP
67%
16%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
RAP
5 - 1
FCW
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
SWW
2 - 1
RAP
52%
19%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
RAP
8 - 2
KAP
86%
9%
6%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
OWI
4 - 6
RAP
25%
20%
55%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
RAP
67%
16%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
77%
13%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 2
NAP
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |