Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-8
Rapid Wien vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
AUG
0 - 1
RAP
21%
18%
61%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
RAP
5 - 1
GRA
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
RAP
7 - 1
STR
88%
8%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
AWM
3 - 5
RAP
43%
21%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCW
87%
8%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 4
ACM
22%
21%
56%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
JUV
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACM
15%
18%
67%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |