Rapid Wien vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
RAP
0 - 3
WIE
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
RAP
7 - 1
SCW
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VIE
5 - 5
RAP
33%
21%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
AUS
1 - 4
RAP
41%
20%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SCW
1 - 3
RAP
20%
17%
63%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
FCN
3 - 1
F95
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCN
21%
21%
58%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
FCN
2 - 1
SVS
76%
14%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCN
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
FCN
3 - 1
VIE
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |