Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
Rapid Wien vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
WIE
1 - 0
RAP
55%
19%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 1
WIE
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RAP
32%
21%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VIE
4 - 2
RAP
51%
20%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
3 - 1
ERZ
88%
8%
4%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RAP
32%
21%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
3 - 1
ERZ
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 1
ERZ
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |