Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
Rapid Wien vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 2
GRA
74%
14%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
LAS
5 - 1
RAP
33%
22%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
RAP
2 - 2
AUS
63%
17%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AWM
0 - 1
RAP
21%
20%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
RAP
5 - 1
WIE
86%
8%
6%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 1
ERZ
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
GÖT
32%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
GÖT
2 - 2
ERZ
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |