Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Rapid Wien vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1984 |
GRA
0 - 1
RAP
34%
24%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
EIS
0 - 2
RAP
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
GRA
3 - 2
RAP
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
RAP
1 - 1
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
RAP
2 - 0
WIE
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
DUN
3 - 1
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STM
2 - 2
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1984 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLA
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
DUN
2 - 0
HIB
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |