Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 2-2
Rapid Wien vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 3
RAP
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 1
RAP
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
APO
2 - 2
RAP
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
5 - 1
AUK
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
RAP
2 - 1
APO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
WIG
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FUL
3 - 1
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |