Rapid Wien II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
FAC
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OST
0 - 4
RAP
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 0
MAT
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RIT
1 - 0
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
RAP
3 - 3
FCW
51%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 2
WIE
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 4
BAU
67%
19%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OST
3 - 1
BAU
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 3
AUS
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |