Rapid Wien II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
OST
0 - 1
RAP
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
FAC
1 - 1
RAP
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVH
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 1
RAP
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MAT
4 - 2
BAU
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
OST
38%
23%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 0
BAU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 1
FCW
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |