Rapid Wien II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
RAP
2 - 0
MAT
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
NEU
0 - 2
RAP
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
RAP
5 - 1
SVH
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
RAP
1 - 3
FAC
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
FCW
1 - 0
RAP
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
BAU
2 - 1
WIE
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
MAT
4 - 1
BAU
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
BAU
1 - 2
ZWE
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
NEU
1 - 1
BAU
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 2
WUR
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |