Rapid Lienz vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MSA
0 - 2
RAP
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 1
SPI
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VEI
5 - 0
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 0
WOL
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 4
RAP
14%
20%
65%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 0
EAC
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BLE
1 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 1
SCL
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
WAC
0 - 1
WEL
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 2
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |