Rapid Lienz vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 3
RAP
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 0
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 1
KUH
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KMD
1 - 1
RAP
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 4
FLC
8%
16%
76%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 0
MIC
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 0
MIC
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
GLO
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 0
MIC
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |