Rapid Lienz vs Maria Saal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
RAP
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
VEI
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 3
RAP
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 1
RAP
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MSA
1 - 0
EAC
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
TRE
6 - 1
MSA
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MSA
0 - 5
FEL
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
MSA
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MSA
0 - 2
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |