Rapid Lienz vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
3 - 1
MSA
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
RAP
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
VEI
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 3
RAP
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EAC
4 - 4
FLC
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FEL
2 - 1
FLC
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FLC
1 - 1
FCH
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
7 - 0
FLC
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FLC
3 - 3
RUD
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |