Raon-l'Etape vs US Thionville Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+130%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
13º
12º
55
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RAO
43%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 1
STR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEZ
2 - 0
RAO
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
0 - 1
TRO
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
THA
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
US Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
THL
1 - 0
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
THL
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THL
1 - 2
TRO
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 1
THL
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
MET
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |