Raon-l'Etape vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
RAO
0 - 1
POI
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LMU
0 - 0
TFC
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 3
CSL
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 0
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |