Raon-l'Etape vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
13º
12º
39
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
RAO
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
MET
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THL
4 - 2
RAO
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAO
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 3
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THA
2 - 1
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 3
THA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THA
2 - 0
TRO
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
THA
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
THA
3 - 0
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |