Raon-l'Etape vs Sochaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
14º
14º
24
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
87% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
RAO
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 1
JUR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAO
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sochaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
SAR
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
SOC
30%
23%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VES
1 - 2
SOC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |