Raon-l'Etape vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
13º
12º
35
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
RAO
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
RAO
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAO
0 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
RAO
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 0
OBE
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
23%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THL
4 - 1
NAN
27%
21%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
REI
38%
23%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |