Randers vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
7º
4º
26
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
85% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 2
RAN
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 1
LYN
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 2
RAN
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
RAN
5%
13%
83%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
2 - 2
MID
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
FCN
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
SIF
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SON
1 - 4
FCN
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FCN
4 - 1
BIF
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 5
FCN
12%
18%
71%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |