Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Randers vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
RAN
3 - 2
BIF
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
0 - 3
RAN
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
F91
2 - 1
RAN
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
RAN
6 - 1
F91
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 3
BIF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
1 - 0
NKN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GOR
0 - 3
RAN
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RUD
2 - 3
GOR
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
GOR
3 - 1
NKN
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
GOR
6 - 1
NKI
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |