Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 1
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SON
1 - 0
RAN
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
RAN
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 3
RAN
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
RAN
4 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
AAB
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VEJ
2 - 1
AGF
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
BIF
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
AGF
3 - 1
ESB
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |