Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Randers vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
RAN
71%
17%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
SLI
0 - 2
RAN
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
RAN
6 - 0
SLI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
SHR
1 - 2
RAN
46%
21%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
RAN
1 - 0
SHR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
RAN
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
S04
3 - 1
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
KAI
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |