Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+525%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
5º
5º
4
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 12 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 10 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 7 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
2% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 5 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
38% | 64% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 0
RSA
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
RSA
4 - 0
JAP
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 55 | 41 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RSA
3 - 2
EST
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 68 | 56 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 0
RSA
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 6
DIR
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | -1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNA
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
UNA
0 - 2
DIR
25%
24%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
UNA
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |