Rancho Santana vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+569%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
10º
24
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 3
RSA
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 1
WAL
16%
22%
61%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
RSA
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
MFC
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | +2 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
4 - 0
DEP
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
CDS
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 0
UNA
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |