Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
10º
29
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
RSA
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
MFC
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 3
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
7 | 66 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
10%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |