Rancho Santana vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+569%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
10º
20
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 3
EST
18%
23%
60%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 2
CDS
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 3
RSA
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 68 | 60 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 1
WAL
16%
22%
61%
|
8 | 59 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
UNA
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
JAP
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
WAL
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 2
DIR
17%
25%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 1
JAP
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |