Rana FK vs Tiller IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
5º
1º
35
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 59 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 53 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 42 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 31 |
10º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
76% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rana FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
RFK
0 - 3
IKJ
31%
21%
48%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
RFK
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STB
5 - 0
RFK
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 5
RFK
17%
17%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RFK
3 - 0
KBK
81%
11%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
0 - 3
RAN
7%
15%
78%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
3 - 0
MOS
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STB
0 - 3
TIL
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
TIL
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAN
5 - 0
TIL
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |