FA Trophy 1/16
Global 5-3
Ramsbottom United vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ramsbottom United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
RAM
1 - 1
LEE
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
RAM
0 - 3
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
RAM
2 - 1
RAD
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAM
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
RAM
2 - 0
WOR
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
WEY
2 - 1
TIV
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
WEY
2 - 2
POO
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 3
WEY
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
WEY
15%
21%
65%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WEY
2 - 2
HAR
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |